SUNDAY, 18 OCTOBER 2026GLOBAL AFFAIRS · LONDON
Tech

Samsung’s record AI-chip profit reveals both the power and fragility of the memory boom

Samsung’s preliminary third-quarter profit shows how AI infrastructure spending is reshaping the semiconductor industry, while exposing pressure elsewhere in the technology supply chain.

Publication date: 11 October 2026

Samsung Electronics expects approximately 107.4 trillion won in third-quarter operating profit, a record that shows how decisively artificial-intelligence infrastructure spending has changed the economics of the memory-chip industry.

In official guidance issued on 8 October, Samsung estimated consolidated sales of about 195 trillion won and operating profit between 107.3 trillion and 107.5 trillion won. The figures remain preliminary and unaudited, with detailed results due on 29 October.

Reuters calculated the operating profit at roughly $80.17 billion and reported that it would be the first time a technology company had exceeded 100 trillion won in quarterly profit. The estimate represents a nearly ninefold increase from a year earlier, driven principally by demand for memory used in AI computing.

AI demand is changing where value accumulates

Generative AI depends on more than processors. Large systems require high-bandwidth memory to move data quickly, conventional DRAM for servers and NAND storage for expanding datasets. When demand grows faster than production, memory suppliers gain pricing power across several product categories.

That has turned what was historically a cyclical and sometimes low-margin market into one of the most profitable points in the AI supply chain. Samsung, SK Hynix and Micron are benefiting from tight capacity, while cloud companies and device manufacturers face higher component bills.

Reuters reported that Samsung and Micron expect the supply imbalance to persist into 2028. That outlook supports continued investment, but it also creates a leadership challenge. Building too little capacity prolongs shortages and raises customer costs. Building too much could recreate the oversupply cycles that have repeatedly damaged memory-industry earnings.

A record headline hides uneven performance

Samsung’s result does not mean every part of the company is equally strong. Higher memory prices can benefit the semiconductor division while squeezing smartphones and consumer electronics that must buy those components. Reuters cited analysts who expected the mobile business to record a loss of more than $1 billion, while the foundry operation was also expected to remain loss-making.

This tension matters across the technology sector. AI infrastructure suppliers can report exceptional profits even as device makers, software companies and data-centre operators struggle with rising capital costs. The boom is therefore redistributing value, not lifting every participant equally.

Investors also remain cautious. Samsung’s shares had fallen more than 25 percent from their June high despite successive profit records, according to Reuters. That suggests markets are looking beyond current scarcity to the durability of AI spending, Chinese competition and the risk that supply eventually catches up.

For technology leaders, Samsung’s guidance is both a demand signal and a warning. Securing memory supply, improving energy efficiency and designing systems that use expensive hardware more effectively will be strategic priorities. The companies that win the AI era may not be those that buy the most computing capacity, but those that convert scarce capacity into dependable economic value.

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